Showing posts with label trade war. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trade war. Show all posts

Friday, May 31, 2019

My 4 tweets on the access to bank credit war

1. Way too much discussions on whether bank capital requirements should be 4%, 8%, 15%, 20% or whatever, and way to little about the fact that different capital requirements for different assets, dangerously distorts the allocation of bank credit.

2. The risk weights in the risk weighted capital requirements for banks are de facto tariffs on the access to bank credit. Sovereigns 0%, AAA rated 20%, residential mortgages 35%, unrated citizens 100%, below BB- corporates 150%.

3. So why do all those who tear their clothes about trade protectionism, keep silence about the access to bank credit protectionism imposed by “the safe” on “the risky”, and which can have even much more serious implications for the world economy.

4. As is it guarantees especially large bank crises from especially big exposures to what’s perceived as especially safe, against especially little capital.
As is, by favoring credit to the “safer” present over the “riskier” future it guarantees stagnation.

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Trade wars will mean new tariffs

There is another tariff war that is being dangerously ignored. 

The July 6 editorial "A splendid little tariff war?" rightly held that "tariffs create all sort of inefficiencies, unintended consequences and uncertainty."

The risk-weighted capital requirements for banks also translate de facto into subsidies and tariffs, which have resulted in a too much-ignored allocation of bank credit war. 

One consequence is that those perceived as risky, such as entrepreneurs, have their access to bank credit made more difficult than usual, and our economy suffers. Another is that by promoting excessive exposures to what is especially dangerous, because it is perceived as safe, against especially little capital, guarantees that when a bank crisis results, it will be especially bad. 

In terms of Mark Twain's supposed saying, these regulations have bankers lending out the umbrella faster than usual when the sun shines and wanting it back faster than usual when it looks like it is going to rain.



A 2019 letter on this issue to the Executive Directors and Staff of the International Monetary Fund.