Showing posts with label Regulation B. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Regulation B. Show all posts
Tuesday, April 26, 2016
Banks use to decide whom to lend to, based on who offered them the highest risk adjusted interest rates.
Not any more. Now banks have to calculate what those risk adjusted interest rates signify in terms of risk-adjusted rates of return on their equity. That is because with their risk weighted capital requirements, regulators now allow banks to hold less capital, and therefore be able to leverage more their equity, when engaging with The Safe than with The Risky.
And those perceived, decreed or concocted as belonging to The Safe, include sovereigns (governments), members of the AAArisktocracy and the financing of houses.
And those belonging to The Risky are SMEs, entrepreneurs, the unrated or the not-so good rated, and citizens in general.
And that of course has introduced a regulatory risk aversion that distorts the allocation of credit to the real economy. By guaranteeing “The Risky” will now have too little access to credit, that dooms the economy and the banks to slowly fade away.
But the banks and the economy could also disappear with a Big Bang. That because by giving banks incentives to go too much for The Safe, sooner or later, some safe havens will be dangerously overpopulated, and we will all suddenly find ourselves there gasping for oxygen.
In essence, because of this regulation, banks no longer finance the riskier future; they just refinance the (for the time being) safer past.
How did this happen? There are many explanations but the most important one is that regulators never defined the purpose of the banks before regulating these.
“A ship in harbor is safe, but that is not what ships are for.” John A Shedd, 1850-1926
PS. That also goes for the rest of the world. For instance the Eurozone was done in with it.
Tuesday, June 23, 2015
If the US stops distorting the allocation of bank credit to the real economy… does Europe dare to be left behind?
For 6.000 (out of 6.400) traditional US banks those that hold, effectively, zero trading assets or liabilities; no derivative positions other than interest rate swaps and foreign exchange derivatives; and whose total notional value of all their derivatives exposures - including cleared and non-cleared derivatives - is less than $3 billion...
Thomas M. Hoenig, the Vice Chairman of the FDIC is proposing the following:
“A bank should have a ratio of GAAP equity-to-assets of at least 10 percent. The substantial majority of [US] community banks already have equity-to-asset ratios of 10 percent or higher, and the number is in reach for those that do not.”
“Exempting traditional banks from all Basel capital standards and associated capital amount calculations and risk-weighted asset calculations.”
If approved, that would effectively mean the US begins to distance itself from the pillar of Basel Committees bank regulations, the credit-risk-weighted capital requirements.
Since those capital requirements odiously discriminate against the fair access to bank credit of borrowers deemed “risky”; and thereby distorts bank credit allocation, that would mean that most US banks would be able to return to real lending to the real economy.
Does Europe dare to be left behind in such development?
PS. Its about time the US suspended such regulatory discrimination, which should never have been allowed, according to the Equal Credit Opportunity Act (Regulation B)
Saturday, October 18, 2014
Janet Yellen, are you really so unaware you are also one of the equal opportunities killers?
On October 17, 2014 Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen spoke about “Perspectives on Inequality and Opportunity” In it she said:
“Owning a business is risky, and most new businesses close within a few years. But research shows that business ownership is associated with higher levels of economic mobility. However, it appears that it has become harder to start and build businesses. The pace of new business creation has gradually declined over the past couple of decades, and the number of new firms declined sharply from 2006 through 2009… One reason to be concerned about the apparent decline in new business formation is that it may serve to depress the pace of productivity, real wage growth, and employment. Another reason is that a slowdown in business formation may threaten what I believe likely has been a significant source of economic opportunity for many families below the very top in income and wealth.”
Unbelievable! Janet Yellen, even though she is extremely connected to bank regulations, seems not to have the faintest idea of how these effectively block the creation of new businesses, by unfairly discriminating the access to bank credit of those who are perceived as risky… like new businesses.
Janet Yellen (and others at the Fed), let me explain it for you:
The pillar of current bank regulations is credit risk weighted capital (equity) requirements for banks… more-perceived-credit-risk more equity – less-perceived-credit-risk less equity.
And that translates into banks being allowed to earn much much higher risk adjusted returns on equity when lending to the “absolutely safe” than when lending to the risky”
And that translates directly into that those who are perceived as “risky”, like new businesses, and who, precisely because they are perceived as “risky”, already have to pay higher interests and have lesser access to bank credit, will then have to pay up twice for that perception…and so will then need to pay even higher interests and then get even less access to bank credit.
And that is odious discrimination, a great driver of inequality… and a killer of the equal opportunities the poor so much need in order to progress.
And of course, let us not even think of what the Fed’s QE’s have done in terms of un-leveling the playing fields. The fact is that had it not been for how the financial crisis management favored foremost those who had most, Thomas Piketty’s "Capital in the Twenty-First Century”, would have remained a manuscript.
And Janet Yellen thinks: “it is appropriate to ask whether this trend [of widening inequality] is compatible with values rooted in our nation's history, among them the high value Americans have traditionally placed on equality of opportunity.”
Frankly to hear someone who favors regulatory risk-aversion, daring to speak about American values, in the “home of the brave”, in the land built up on the risk-taking of their daring immigrants… is sad.
I am sure that the US Congress would never ever approve what you bank regulators are up to, if aware of it, and much less if asked formally
What would the reactions be if capital requirements for banks discriminated against gays, sick, black people or women?
PS. To me it is amazing how bank regulators in America can so blitehly ignore the Equal Credit Opportunity Act (Regulation B)
Saturday, July 12, 2014
What would the reactions be if capital requirements for banks discriminated against gays, the sick, women or black people?
Those perceived as risky credit risks do already pay higher interest rates, do get smaller loans and do have to accept harsher terms… and so why on earth would regulators require banks to have much more capital when lending to the risky than when lending to the “safe”, and so that the risky need to accept even higher interest rates, even smaller loans and even harsher terms… and all this when there has been no major bank crises in history that has resulted from excessive exposure to those ex ante perceived as not risky? Are current bank regulators sadists?
De facto, regulators tell banks to lend less or charge higher interests to those suffering the precondition of being perceived as risky
De facto, regulators tell banks to lend less or charge higher interests to those suffering the precondition of being perceived as risky
What would the reactions be if capital requirements for banks discriminated against gays?
What would the reactions be if capital requirements for banks discriminated against the sick?
What would the reactions be if capital requirements for banks discriminated against black people?
What would the reactions be if capital requirements for banks discriminated against women?
All hell would break lose!
But, no these only discriminate in favor of the “infallible” and against “the risky”, and so nobody cares.
Sunday, November 10, 2013
Here is THE QUESTION for Janet Yellen during her US Senate confirmation hearings as Chair of the Federal Reserve
Ms. Janet Yellen
Is it not a fact that, with the sole exceptions of when pure fraud was present, all major bank crises have always resulted from excessive exposures to what was ex ante perceived as “absolutely safe”, and never ever from excessive exposures to what was ex ante perceived as “risky”?
And, if so, can you please explain to us the rationale behind the pillar of current regulations, the risk weighting of the capital requirements, which allow banks to hold much much less capital against what is ex ante perceived as “absolutely safe” than against what is perceived as risky?
Could it not be that in reality it should perhaps be the complete opposite?
Is it correct that in the “home of the brave” we impose this type of bank regulations which discriminate against those perceived as “risky”? And by the way, is such thing really allowed under the Equal Credit Opportunity Act, “Regulation B”?
Finally, do not these regulations created such distortions that it makes it impossible for the banks to allocate credit efficiently in the real economy?
PS. Oh I almost forgot. I remember the Constitution of the United States of America, in Section 8 states “The Congress shall have the power to…fix the Standard of Weights and Measures.” Can you please refresh our minds as to when we delegate fixing the risk-weights to the Fed?
PS. Oh and I almost also forgot too. The US Constitution in its section 9 states: “No Title of Nobility shall be granted by the United States”. Now, is that not something that de facto happens when we sort of recognize the existence of an AAAristocracy or AAArisktocracy?
Saturday, July 7, 2012
The complaint I presented to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau CFPB
Introduced by means of: https://help.consumerfinance.gov/app/tellyourstory
I refer to the Equal Credit Opportunity Act (Regulation B) in order to present the following complaint:
Banks consider credit risk information, like that contained in credit ratings, when setting interest rates, amount of loans and other contractual terms… this causes a natural market based discrimination of those perceived as risky. We all know well Mark Twain’s description of a banker: that as the one who lends you the umbrella when the sun shines, and wants it back, urgently, when it looks like it is going to rain.
Banks consider credit risk information, like that contained in credit ratings, when setting interest rates, amount of loans and other contractual terms… this causes a natural market based discrimination of those perceived as risky. We all know well Mark Twain’s description of a banker: that as the one who lends you the umbrella when the sun shines, and wants it back, urgently, when it looks like it is going to rain.
But when bank regulators use the same credit risk information, in order to also determine the capital requirements for the banks, then they produce artificial regulatory discrimination in favor (a subsidy) of those already favored by being perceived as not risky, and against (a tax) those already being disfavored by being perceived as risky. And I argue that this regulatory discrimination is contrary to the spirit of the Equal Opportunity for Credit.
The discrimination occurs in the following way. If a bank is allowed to have less capital when lending to the not risky that signifies he can leverage its equity more and therefore obtain larger returns on equity when lending to the “not-risky”. If a bank is forced to have more capital when lending to the risky that signifies it can leverage less its equity and therefore obtains lesser returns on equity when lending to those perceived as “risky”. To make up for this regulation and present the banks with the same opportunity of returns on their equity, the “risky” need to pay an additional interest rate, and this additional is quite substantial.
The capital requirement regulations are explained in terms of making the banks safer, but that is not the case, in fact it makes the banks more unsafe. There has never ever been a major bank crisis that has resulted from excessive exposures to what was perceived as risky, think of Mark Twain’s banker, they have all resulted from excessive exposures to what was ex ante considered not risky, but, ex post, turn out to be very risky. And in that respect it allows for excessive leverage buildup precisely in those areas that contain the greatest risk and consequences of bad surprises, namely the lending to what is perceived as “not-risky”.
Let me just end by commenting on the great contradiction that the discrimination of those perceived as risky, like the small businesses and entrepreneurs, really signifies in “a land of the brave”.
Please help stop that odious discrimination. To deny those perceived as risky fair access to bank
credit, is an act of regulatory violence.
PS. Just in case, the returns on equity I speak of are of course the risk-adjusted ones.
PS. You doubt what I say? Ask regulators these questions.
PS. Just in case, the returns on equity I speak of are of course the risk-adjusted ones.
PS. You doubt what I say? Ask regulators these questions.
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