Thursday, August 31, 2017

My tweet comments on Stephen Cecchetti's and Kim Schoenholtz's "The financial crisis, ten years on", Vox August 2017


Does a crisis start when the bomb is armed, the fuse is lit, the explosion occurs, or when the explosion is noted? http://voxeu.org/article/financial-crisis-ten-years#

In 2003 FT published a letter I wrote about the systemic risk of giving credit rating agencies so much power https://teawithft.blogspot.com/2003/01/credit-ratings-for-developing-nations.html

In 2004 the fuse was lit when Basel II authorized banks to leverage 62.5 times with what was rated AAA http://voxeu.org/debates/commentaries/impose-higher-bank-capital-requirements-what-has-best-credit-ratings

In August 2006 clearly the bomb had already exploded https://teawithft.blogspot.com/2006/08/long-term-benefits-of-hard-landing.html

Unfortunately it was not until July 2007 credit rating agencies woke up and in August that the fan started to spread out the shit.