Showing posts with label nannie state. Show all posts
Showing posts with label nannie state. Show all posts
Monday, October 9, 2017
Motorcycles, in terms of deaths per miles driven, are much riskier than cars. Should society therefore levy a special risk tax to compensate it for the unnecessary early death of its members? (Even though we know more people die in car than motorcycle accidents)
Since sport injuries have a cost for the society should we tax sports based on their injury rates? For instance, applying a ten percent risk tax on cricket and only one percent on croquet (to cover for the pesky squirrels).
If one assumes that the risks involved with any activity are not adequately perceived or considered, one could of course construe a case for those taxes. But, should we dare to assume risks are not already perceived and cleared for if we therefore could end up with a very risky too risk adverse society?
And I ask all this because taxing risk-taking is exactly what current regulators do with their risk weighted capital requirements for banks.
They now require banks to hold more capital against what is already perceived as riskier (motorcycles) than against what is perceived as safe (cars). This translates into banks having much higher possibility of maximizing their returns on equity with what is “safe” than with what is “risky”; which de facto is a tax on “the risky”.
Consequences? Banks build up dangerously large exposures to what is perceived, decreed, or concocted as safe, like sovereigns, AAArisktocracy and mortgages; and to small exposures, or even no exposure at all to what is perceived as risky, like SMEs and entrepreneurs.
Clearly if the risks are already perceived and considered by bankers, in the size of the exposure and the interest rates charged, to then also have the capital reflect the perceived risks, cause these risks to be excessively considered; resulting in an excessively risk-adverse banking system.
Just consider that already, partly because of the higher risk perceptions, many more people die in car than in motorcycle accidents.
Think of a society where no one drives motorcycles or plays cricket because the risk-taxes are too high, and all keep to cars and crocket. Is that the kind of society that will be strong enough to survive? Is that what we want?
I am sorry but there is no more figurative way to express it. The Basel Committee for Banking Regulations and their affiliated regulators have effectively castrated our banking system. Will that make us safer? Of course not!
Our banks will dangerously overpopulate safe-havens; in which they will die from lack of oxygen.
Our economies are going to dwindle into nothing, when denied the oxygen of risk-taking necessary for all development.
Friends, we must urgently get rid of these dangerously inept bank nannies.
Friday, December 5, 2014
Europe, America, you might use the average risk aversion of nannies, but, never ever, as the Basel Committee does, use a sum of these.
Let us suppose a perfect credit rating.
And that perfect credit rating is then considered by the banks and the market in general, and cleared for by interest rates, the size of the exposure and other terms.
But when bank regulators (Basel Committee) ordered that perfectly perceived credit risk, to also be cleared for in the capital of banks, then they completely messed it up.
Because a perfectly perceived risk, when it is excessively considered, causes an imperfect reaction to it.
Let me explain it in the following way:
Figure out the average risk aversion of nannies when letting your kids out to play… that might not be the best risk aversion to use, it might be too high, but anyhow it is acceptable.
But, never ever add one nanny’s risk aversion to that of other nannies, because then your kid will never ever be allowed to go out and play… or learn how to bike
And if your kids only stay “safe” at home, they will eat too many cookies and turn obese… like some of their nannies.
And that’s what we have now, banks staying home, playing it safe and turning obese by lending to “infallible sovereigns”, house financing and member of the AAAristocracy or the AAArisktocracy (carbs); while not going out to play, in order to develop muscles, for instance by lending to small businesses and entrepreneurs (proteins).
Our banks no longer finance the "risky" future they just refinance the "safer" past.
You can use their average risk aversion,
but, for the sake of our kids (and our banks) please, never ever the sum of it
but, for the sake of our kids (and our banks) please, never ever the sum of it
P.S. And anyone agreeing with bank capital requirements’ risk weights of 0% government, 100% citizens; which de facto imply the bureaucracies' nannies know better what to do with credit, than e.g., entrepreneurs, has no right to complain about living in a Nannie State
PS. Here is a current summary of why I know the risk weighted capital requirements for banks, is utter and dangerous nonsense.
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