The pillar of current bank regulations are the risk
weighted capital requirements for banks. For instance in Basel II: 0 percent when lending to an “infallible
sovereign”; 1.6 percent when lending to a slightly less “infallible sovereign”,
or to a private member of the AAAristocracy; and 8 percent when lending to “a
risky” medium and small businesses, or to an entrepreneur or a start-up.
It would be interesting to hear John Coates opinion of
what he thinks was present in the bodies’ of bank regulators when they
concocted their regulations.
For instance, was it cortisol which made regulators so
adverse to banks taking any kind of risks? Clearly, by allowing banks to earn
so much higher risk-adjusted returns on equity when lending to the “absolutely
safe” than when lending to “the risky”, they evidenced they were so insanely risk-adverse
against banks running into short term problems, they even preferred to risk the
misallocation of bank credit, something which had to guarantee that our real
economy, and our banks, would run into problems long term.
Or was it testosterone, cocaine, or hubris which turned our
bank regulators, those who foremost should be on the outlook for unexpected losses,
into some risk taking monsters? Allowing
banks to leverage their equity 62.5 to 1 when lending to a private corporation,
only because of AAA ratings, or to a nation with ratings such like those Greece
had; or to even assume the existence of “infallible sovereigns” and in which
case they allowed banks to leverage their capital infinitely… points at nothing
else but insane risk-taking. Unless they are plain dumb something external must have influenced regulators to blind themselves to the fact that financial crises are never caused by excessive exposures to "the risky", but always by excessive bank exposures to something erroneously thought as "absolutely safe"
Coates refers to
Lord Owen, a former British foreign
secretary and a neurologist by training describing the “hubris syndrome” as “a
disorder of the possession of power, particularly power which has been
associated with overwhelming success, held for a period of years and with
minimal constraint on the leader [which] can result in disastrous leadership
and cause damage on a large scale. And Coates further clarifies it writing “This
syndrome is characterized by recklessness, an inattention to detail, overwhelming
self-confidence and contempt for others.”
I do not know about testosterone, cortisol or cocaine but, since I quite recently heard one of the most important bank regulators saying “if
bankers don’t like it let them be shoemakers” I would settle for the
hubris of bank regulators, that which made them think they could act as risk
managers for the whole world, as being the principal cause of the financial crisis…
sprinkled of course with
a heavy dose of ideology.
In Bill Easterly´s terms... God save us from
the tyranny of experts!