Tuesday, March 7, 2023

Bank regulators were contaminated by the virus of totalitarianism

Mario Vargas Llosa in “The Call of the Tribe”, 2023, has a chapter titled Friedrich August von Hayek (1859-1992). It mentions Hayek, in “The Road to Serfdom” 1946, opining “that centralized planning of the economy inevitable undermines the bases of democracy, and that fascism and communism were therefore two expressions of the same phenomenon of totalitarianism. By the same token, all regimes, even those appearing to be free, would be contaminated by the virus of totalitarianism if they sought to control the functioning of the market.”

Paul Volcker in his “Keeping at it” 2018 (valiantly) confessed: “Assets assigned the lowest risk, [1988] for which bank capital [equity] requirements were therefore nonexistent or low, were what had the most political support: sovereign credits & home mortgages… A ‘leverage ratio’ discouraged holdings of low-return government securities”

Bank capital requirements with decreed risk weights 0% Federal Government and 100% We the People; could that have been a "spontaneous evolution of institutions"? NO!

Tell me, is that not about the greatest example of regimes appearing to be free, having been contaminated by the virus of totalitarianism, bringing fascism and communism by stealth?  (What would the Founding Fathers have opined)



On three side issues: 

Regulators allow banks to hold much less capital/equity when financing what’s perceived (or decreed) as “safe” e.g., public debt, residential mortgages and AAA rated, than when financing what’s perceived as “risky” e.g., loans to small businesses and entrepreneurs. I’m sure Hayek would have known, as any economist should have known, that such incentives had to cause dangerously much lending to the “safe”, and weakening too little lending to the “risky”

I’m sure Hayek would also have objected assigning some few human fallible credit rating agencies so much power when determining how much capital/equity banks had to hold against assets.

If asked about bank capital/equity requirements based on what’s perceived as risky being more dangerous to bank systems than what’s perceived as safe, Hayek could have probably asked: What were the large exposures that detonated bank crises built-up with, with assets perceived as risky or with assets perceived as safe?